LTReikšminiai žodžiai: Kompiuterinis modeliavimas; Kompiuterinė simuliacija; Kultūriniai procesai; Kultūrinis dalyvavimas; Kultūros procesai; Logistinė regresija; Socialinis kapitalas; Statistinis tyrimas; Statistinė apklausa; Tikimybinis modelis; Įtaka; Computer simulation; Cultural participation; Cultural processes; Logistic regression; Probabilistic model; Social capital; Statistical survey; The impact.
ENThis study attempts to construct a computer-based probabilistic model of the social impact of cultural events, which may be useful for simulating and measuring social impact in a community context. Changes in social capital as a result of actors’ participation in cultural events are modeled, assuming that links exist between cultural participation and social capital measured using the methodology of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development. The computer-based probabilistic model for simulation of the social impact of a cultural event flow is developed, and the model for a social impact assessment using statistical socio-cultural data is given. Finally, verification of the developed model is carried out by Monte Carlobased computer-simulated case study, and the example of application to statistical cultural participation data is presented. [From the publication]