Economic growth, sustainable development and energy security interrelations

LTStraipsnyje siekiama nustatyti, kokio tipo tarpusavio ryšius galima išskirti tarp energijos naudojimo modelių, vyraujančių tam tikroje šalyje, ekonominiame augime ir tvarioje plėtroje. Siekiant nustatyti tarpusavio ryšius tarp ekonominio augimo, tvarios plėtros ir energetinio saugumo, reikia susitarti, kokios prielaidos slepiasi po šiomis kategorijomis. Tik apsisprendus, kas ką reiškia, galima plėtoti toliau mokslinę mintį ir formuluoti tyrimo metodologiją. Analizės rezultatai leidžia teigti, kad nepaisant didelės energetinio saugumo koncepcijos apibrėžimų įvairovės ir daug bandymų sukurti kompleksinius rodiklius, norint atskleisti tarpusavio ryšius tarp ekonominio augimo ir energijos sunaudojimo, reikia labai konkrečios matavimo metodikos. Mažiau išsivysčiusioms šalims energijos tiekimo matavimas vis dar lieka svarbiausiu dalyku, kuris, savo ruožtu, lemia energetinį saugumą. Kita išvada yra ta, kad energetinis saugumas gali turėti kontroversišką poveikį tvariai plėtrai. Poveikio kryptis gali būti teigiama ar neigiama; teigiamas poveikis gali būti atsvertas neigiamo, t.y. poveikis yra jautrus kontekstui. Autorių nuomone, mažiau išsivysčiusiose šalyse energijos sunaudojimo padidėjimas stimuliuoja ekonominį augimą ir tvarią plėtrą. Labiau išsivysčiusiose šalyse tolimesnis energijos sunaudojimo didėjimas gali turėti žalingą poveikį dėl padidėjusios aplinkos taršos. Galutinis rezultatas priklauso nuo ekonomikos pajamų elastingumo energijos kainai, o tai vėl galima susieti su šalies išsivystymo lygiu. Be to, ilgalaikį ir trumpalaikį ekonomikos augimą reikia atskirti.Reikšminiai žodžiai: Darnus vystymasis; Ekonomikos augimas; Ekonominis augimas; Energetinis saugumas; Energijos intensyvumas; Konkurencingumas; Tvarus vystymasis; Competitiveness; Economic growth; Energy intensity; Energy security; Sustainable development.

ENPresented paper aims to indicate what types of interrelationships between energy usage patterns prevailing in particular country, economic growth and finally, sustainable development could be distinguished. The topic of paper, or, rather research area, is neither new nor original. Nevertheless, an array of approaches towards character of considered interrelationships can be encountered. Complicity of chosen issue, we reckon, lies in differences of perception of the following questions. Our findings consequently would depend on, at first, how we measure economic growth in short and long terms, the second, how we measure energy security, and, the third, how we benchmark progress towards sustainable development. Methods, which we consider as being applicable for measuring of selected interrelationships, comprise a separate part of scientific elaboration. Therefore we formulate a task to overview the most contemporary measurable perceptions of economic growth, perceptions of energy security facets affecting economic growth and consequent reaction of sustainable development to various scenarios of energy consumption and economic growth. Resulting conclusions about measurement of indicated phenomena and argumentations of their plausible interrelation would lead us to choice of methodological approaches of described interrelations’ analysis. [From the publication]

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