Methodological features regarding the prognostication of Lithuanian railway freight transport volumes from a long-term perspective
ENThe prognostication of Lithuanian Railway freight transport volumes from a long-term perspective is difficult methodological process even during a period of positive economic development. All sectors of National Economy have serious consequences of international crises and still are not recovered (did not climb out of economic recession). Therefore it is not a time to predict further optimistic development. Social sector having influence on a usage and a growth of its demand is still in more complicated situation. Despite of this unpleasant economic situation the processes of projection, strategic planning, and preparation of priority projects, investment planning and implementation continue to proceed. That determines urgent modelling of separate economic sectors, forecasting of specific activities and preparation of tactical plans. This attitude was a basis for the methodology regarding prognostication of railway freight and passenger transport volumes from a long-term perspective. Necessity of preparation of priority infrastructure projects and substantiation of their decision determines the period of perspective.
