Finansinių rodiklių prognozavimas
LTStraipsnyje nagrinėjami pagrindiniai finansinių rodiklių analizės ir prognozavimo metodai esant neapibrėžtumui. Praktikoje susiduriama su finansinės informacijos neapibrėžtumu, kurio nepakankamas įvertinimas dažnai lemia analizės rezultatų neadekvatumą. Pagrindiniai straipsnio tikslai: pasiūlyti įmonės finansinių rodiklių prognozavimo, atsižvelgiant į neapibrėžtumo ir rizikos galimybes, koncepciją; išnagrinėti imitacinio modeliavimo taikymo galimybes prognozuojant finansus ir pritaikyti jas praktiškai.
ENQuestions which stock or bond to select, when to buy, and when to sell have plagued investors as long as capital markets have been organised. Such concerns lie at the very heart of the mutual fund concept and in large part explain the growth that mutual funds have experienced. Many investors lack the time, know-how, or commitment to manage their own portfolios, so they tum to professional fund managers and simply let them decide which securities to buy and when to sell. The article examines the origin and rapid development of mutual funds, the main concepts and essential characteristics, analyses the main advantages for the investors, also the matter of risk related with investing in securities is discussed. The aim of this article is to examine the construction and selection of an integral portfolio of assets and liabilities for the mutual fund, seeking for optimal return and standard deviation comparison. The problem is solved determining the whole complex of possible portfolios, looking for an effective zone and the selection of an optimal portfolio.
